Tuesday, July 24, 2007

US IT spend to rise, Indian cos say amen

IT investment and spending is set to rise in the US, according to a forecast by Forrester Research. This may be good news for Indian vendors hurt by the rising rupee and worries of troubles in the sub-prime lending space spilling over into other areas.

“With a moderate tech investment slowdown mostly behind us, the tech sector should experience improving prospects in the second half of 2007.

The US has been witnessing a slowdown in spending on computer and communications and to a lesser extent in areas such as IT services and outsourcing. The demand environment for Indian IT firms, however, has been strong and this was re-affirmed in the current quarter where the tech leaders posted strong growth from the North America region.

For Infosys Technologies, North America revenues were at 62.6% of its total revenues, unchanged from the previous quarter, and for Tata Consultancy Services up from 51% to 61%. Even smaller players, such as Tech Mahindra, with British Telecom as it largest client, maintained US revenues at 19% of total revenues, unchanged from the previous quarter even as its revenues grew.

“As has been true for the past two to three years, the Indian vendors of Infosys, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), and Wipro outpaced the rest of the industry,” the Forrester analysts noted.

Sector-wise, in the first quarter of 2007, the computers and peripherals saw a fall in demand, while growth in communication equipment was flat. Software witnessed as healthy demand of 11%, while services saw a 6% growth.

As the slowdown tapers off, Forrester predicts that IT services spends in the US will grow by 8% in the second quarter, as will spends on computers and peripherals. Software and communications equipment are predicted to grow 10% and 9% respectively. However, the analysts did not totally rule out the possibility of a recession threat.

“The depressing effects over time of a slumping housing market on consumer spending could turn out to be greater than they have been so far. A spike in oil prices could drive gasoline and heating oil prices back to the peaks of 2006,” the report said.

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